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| An RCT may be [[Blind experiment|blinded]], (also called "masked") by "procedures that prevent study participants, caregivers, or outcome assessors from knowing which intervention was received."<ref name="Wood-2008">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Wood L, Egger M, Gluud LL, Schulz KF, Jüni P, Altman DG, Gluud C, Martin RM, Wood AJ, Sterne JA | title = Empirical evidence of bias in treatment effect estimates in controlled trials with different interventions and outcomes: meta-epidemiological study | journal = BMJ | volume = 336 | issue = 7644 | pages = 601–5 | year = 2008 | doi = 10.1136/bmj.39465.451748.AD | pmid = 18316340 | pmc = 2267990 }}</ref> Unlike allocation concealment, blinding is sometimes inappropriate or impossible to perform in an RCT; for example, if an RCT involves a treatment in which active participation of the patient is necessary (e.g., [[physical therapy]]), participants cannot be blinded to the intervention. | | An RCT may be [[Blind experiment|blinded]], (also called "masked") by "procedures that prevent study participants, caregivers, or outcome assessors from knowing which intervention was received."<ref name="Wood-2008">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Wood L, Egger M, Gluud LL, Schulz KF, Jüni P, Altman DG, Gluud C, Martin RM, Wood AJ, Sterne JA | title = Empirical evidence of bias in treatment effect estimates in controlled trials with different interventions and outcomes: meta-epidemiological study | journal = BMJ | volume = 336 | issue = 7644 | pages = 601–5 | year = 2008 | doi = 10.1136/bmj.39465.451748.AD | pmid = 18316340 | pmc = 2267990 }}</ref> Unlike allocation concealment, blinding is sometimes inappropriate or impossible to perform in an RCT; for example, if an RCT involves a treatment in which active participation of the patient is necessary (e.g., [[physical therapy]]), participants cannot be blinded to the intervention. |
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− | If a disruptive innovation in medical technology is developed, it may be difficult to test this ethically in an RCT if it becomes "obvious" that the control subjects have poorer outcomes—either due to other foregoing testing, or within the initial phase of the RCT itself. Ethically it may be necessary to abort the RCT prematurely, and getting ethics approval (and patient agreement) to withhold the innovation from the control group in future RCT's may not be feasible.
| + | 一项RCT的盲法是指阻止研究参与者、照顾者或结果评估者知道哪些干预措施,这一程序也称“蒙面”。与分配隐藏不同,在RCT,致盲有时是不合适的或不可能的;例如,如果RCT涉及需要患者积极参与的治疗(例如物理治疗),参与者不能对干预视而不见。 |
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− | 如果医学技术领域出现颠覆性创新,在RCT中,对照组的结果变得“明显”—-即对照组出现明显差的结局。这要么由于其他的前述测试,要么是在 RCT 本身的初始阶段, 那么在 RCT 中很难从伦理上检验这一点。从伦理上讲,过早地中止 RCT 可能是必要的,而在未来的 RCT 中,获得伦理批准(以及患者同意)以阻止控制组的创新可能是不可行的。
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| Traditionally, blinded RCTs have been classified as "single-blind", "double-blind", or "triple-blind"; however, in 2001 and 2006 two studies showed that these terms have different meanings for different people.<ref name="Devereaux-2001">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Devereaux PJ, Manns BJ, Ghali WA, Quan H, Lacchetti C, Montori VM, Bhandari M, Guyatt GH | title = Physician interpretations and textbook definitions of blinding terminology in randomized controlled trials | journal = [[J Am Med Assoc]] | volume = 285 | issue = 15 | pages = 2000–3 | year = 2001 | doi = 10.1001/jama.285.15.2000| pmid = 11308438 | doi-access = free }}</ref><ref name="Haahr-2006">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Haahr MT, Hróbjartsson A | title = Who is blinded in randomized clinical trials? A study of 200 trials and a survey of authors | journal = Clin Trials | volume = 3 | issue = 4 | pages = 360–5 | year = 2006 | doi = 10.1177/1740774506069153 | pmid = 17060210 | s2cid = 23818514 }}</ref> The 2010 [[Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials|CONSORT Statement]] specifies that authors and editors should not use the terms "single-blind", "double-blind", and "triple-blind"; instead, reports of blinded RCT should discuss "If done, who was blinded after assignment to interventions (for example, participants, care providers, those assessing outcomes) and how."<ref name="Moher-2010"/> | | Traditionally, blinded RCTs have been classified as "single-blind", "double-blind", or "triple-blind"; however, in 2001 and 2006 two studies showed that these terms have different meanings for different people.<ref name="Devereaux-2001">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Devereaux PJ, Manns BJ, Ghali WA, Quan H, Lacchetti C, Montori VM, Bhandari M, Guyatt GH | title = Physician interpretations and textbook definitions of blinding terminology in randomized controlled trials | journal = [[J Am Med Assoc]] | volume = 285 | issue = 15 | pages = 2000–3 | year = 2001 | doi = 10.1001/jama.285.15.2000| pmid = 11308438 | doi-access = free }}</ref><ref name="Haahr-2006">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Haahr MT, Hróbjartsson A | title = Who is blinded in randomized clinical trials? A study of 200 trials and a survey of authors | journal = Clin Trials | volume = 3 | issue = 4 | pages = 360–5 | year = 2006 | doi = 10.1177/1740774506069153 | pmid = 17060210 | s2cid = 23818514 }}</ref> The 2010 [[Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials|CONSORT Statement]] specifies that authors and editors should not use the terms "single-blind", "double-blind", and "triple-blind"; instead, reports of blinded RCT should discuss "If done, who was blinded after assignment to interventions (for example, participants, care providers, those assessing outcomes) and how."<ref name="Moher-2010"/> |
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− | Historical control trials (HCT) exploit the data of previous RCTs to reduce the sample size; however, these approaches are controversial in the scientific community and must be handled with care.
| + | 传统上,盲法随机对照试验分为“单盲”、“双盲”或“三盲”;然而,2001年和2006年的两项研究表明,这些术语对不同的人有不同的含义。2010年CONSORT 声明明确指出,作者和编辑不应使用”单盲”、”双盲”和”三盲”等术语;相反,关于盲法 RCT 的报告应讨论”如果完成,干预分配后谁被“蒙面”了(例如,参与者、护理提供者、评估结果的人员)以及其原因”。 |
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− | 历史对照试验(HCT)利用以前随机对照试验的数据来减少样本量,然而,这些方法在科学界是有争议的,必须小心处理。
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| + | RCTs without blinding are referred to as "unblinded",<ref name="Marson-2007">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Marson AG, Al-Kharusi AM, Alwaidh M, Appleton R, Baker GA, Chadwick DW, etal | title = The SANAD study of effectiveness of valproate, lamotrigine, or topiramate for generalised and unclassifiable epilepsy: an unblinded randomised controlled trial | journal = [[The Lancet|Lancet]] | volume = 369 | issue = 9566 | pages = 1016–26 | year = 2007 | doi = 10.1016/S0140-6736(07)60461-9 | pmid = 17382828 | pmc = 2039891 }}</ref> "open",<ref name="Chan-1995">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Chan R, Hemeryck L, O'Regan M, Clancy L, Feely J | title = Oral versus intravenous antibiotics for community acquired lower respiratory tract infection in a general hospital: open, randomised controlled trial | journal = [[BMJ]] | volume = 310 | issue = 6991 | pages = 1360–2 | year = 1995 | pmid = 7787537 | pmc = 2549744 | doi=10.1136/bmj.310.6991.1360}}</ref> or (if the intervention is a medication) "[[Open-label trial|open-label]]".<ref name="Fukase-2008">{{Cite journal | author = Fukase K, Kato M, Kikuchi S, Inoue K, Uemura N, Okamoto S, Terao S, Amagai K, Hayashi S, Asaka M; Japan Gast Study Group | title = Effect of eradication of Helicobacter pylori on incidence of metachronous gastric carcinoma after endoscopic resection of early gastric cancer: an open-label, randomised controlled trial | journal = Lancet | volume = 372 | issue = 9636 | pages = 392–7 | year = 2008 | doi = 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61159-9 | pmid = 18675689 | hdl = 2115/34681 | s2cid = 13741892 | url = https://eprints.lib.hokudai.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/2115/34681/1/asaka.pdf | hdl-access = free }}</ref> In 2008 a study concluded that the results of unblinded RCTs tended to be biased toward beneficial effects only if the RCTs' outcomes were subjective as opposed to objective;<ref name="Wood-2008"/> for example, in an RCT of treatments for [[multiple sclerosis]], unblinded neurologists (but not the blinded neurologists) felt that the treatments were beneficial.<ref name="Noseworthy-1994">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Noseworthy JH, Ebers GC, Vandervoort MK, Farquhar RE, Yetisir E, Roberts R | author-link1=John H. Noseworthy|title = The impact of blinding on the results of a randomized, placebo-controlled multiple sclerosis clinical trial | journal = Neurology | volume = 44 | issue = 1 | pages = 16–20 | year = 1994 | url = http://www.neurology.org/cgi/content/abstract/44/1/16 | pmid = 8290055 | doi=10.1212/wnl.44.1.16| s2cid=2663997}}</ref> In pragmatic RCTs, although the participants and providers are often unblinded, it is "still desirable and often possible to blind the assessor or obtain an objective source of data for evaluation of outcomes."<ref name="Zwarenstein-2008"/> |
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− | RCTs without blinding are referred to as "unblinded",<ref name="Marson-2007">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Marson AG, Al-Kharusi AM, Alwaidh M, Appleton R, Baker GA, Chadwick DW, etal | title = The SANAD study of effectiveness of valproate, lamotrigine, or topiramate for generalised and unclassifiable epilepsy: an unblinded randomised controlled trial | journal = [[The Lancet|Lancet]] | volume = 369 | issue = 9566 | pages = 1016–26 | year = 2007 | doi = 10.1016/S0140-6736(07)60461-9 | pmid = 17382828 | pmc = 2039891 }}</ref> "open",<ref name="Chan-1995">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Chan R, Hemeryck L, O'Regan M, Clancy L, Feely J | title = Oral versus intravenous antibiotics for community acquired lower respiratory tract infection in a general hospital: open, randomised controlled trial | journal = [[BMJ]] | volume = 310 | issue = 6991 | pages = 1360–2 | year = 1995 | pmid = 7787537 | pmc = 2549744 | doi=10.1136/bmj.310.6991.1360}}</ref> or (if the intervention is a medication) "[[Open-label trial|open-label]]".<ref name="Fukase-2008">{{Cite journal | author = Fukase K, Kato M, Kikuchi S, Inoue K, Uemura N, Okamoto S, Terao S, Amagai K, Hayashi S, Asaka M; Japan Gast Study Group | title = Effect of eradication of Helicobacter pylori on incidence of metachronous gastric carcinoma after endoscopic resection of early gastric cancer: an open-label, randomised controlled trial | journal = Lancet | volume = 372 | issue = 9636 | pages = 392–7 | year = 2008 | doi = 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61159-9 | pmid = 18675689 | hdl = 2115/34681 | s2cid = 13741892 | url = https://eprints.lib.hokudai.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/2115/34681/1/asaka.pdf | hdl-access = free }}</ref> In 2008 a study concluded that the results of unblinded RCTs tended to be biased toward beneficial effects only if the RCTs' outcomes were subjective as opposed to objective;<ref name="Wood-2008"/> for example, in an RCT of treatments for [[multiple sclerosis]], unblinded neurologists (but not the blinded neurologists) felt that the treatments were beneficial.<ref name="Noseworthy-1994">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Noseworthy JH, Ebers GC, Vandervoort MK, Farquhar RE, Yetisir E, Roberts R | author-link1=John H. Noseworthy|title = The impact of blinding on the results of a randomized, placebo-controlled multiple sclerosis clinical trial | journal = Neurology | volume = 44 | issue = 1 | pages = 16–20 | year = 1994 | url = http://www.neurology.org/cgi/content/abstract/44/1/16 | pmid = 8290055 | doi=10.1212/wnl.44.1.16| s2cid=2663997}}</ref> In pragmatic RCTs, although the participants and providers are often unblinded, it is "still desirable and often possible to blind the assessor or obtain an objective source of data for evaluation of outcomes."<ref name="Zwarenstein-2008"/>
| + | 没有盲法的随机对照试验被称为“未盲法”,也称“开放”,或者(如果干预是一种药物)“开放标签”。2008年的一项研究得出结论,只有当随机对照试验的结果是主观的而不是客观的时候,非盲法随机对照试验的结果往往偏向于有益的结果;例如,在RCT多发性硬化症的治疗中,未盲的神经学家认为治疗是有益的。在实用的随机对照试验中,尽管参与者和提供者往往是非盲的,但是”仍然需要并且往往可能使评估者“蒙面”,以获得评估结果的客观数据来源”。 |
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| == Analysis of data == | | == Analysis of data == |
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| * For time-to-event outcome data that may be [[Censoring (statistics)|censored]], [[survival analysis]] (e.g., [[Kaplan–Meier estimator]]s and [[Cox proportional hazards model]]s for time to [[coronary heart disease]] after receipt of [[Hormone replacement therapy (menopause)|hormone replacement therapy in menopause]]<ref name="Rossouw-2002">{{Cite journal | author = Rossouw JE, Anderson GL, [[Ross Prentice|Prentice RL]], LaCroix AZ, Kooperberg C, Stefanick ML, Jackson RD, Beresford SA, Howard BV, Johnson KC, Kotchen JM, Ockene J; Writing Group for the Women's Health Initiative Investigators | title = Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results from the Women's Health Initiative randomized controlled trial | journal = [[J Am Med Assoc]] | volume = 288 | issue = 3 | pages = 321–33 | year = 2002 | pmid = 12117397 | doi = 10.1001/jama.288.3.321 | s2cid = 20149703 | url = https://escholarship.org/content/qt3mr6f93p/qt3mr6f93p.pdf?t=prll4c | doi-access = free }}</ref>) is appropriate. | | * For time-to-event outcome data that may be [[Censoring (statistics)|censored]], [[survival analysis]] (e.g., [[Kaplan–Meier estimator]]s and [[Cox proportional hazards model]]s for time to [[coronary heart disease]] after receipt of [[Hormone replacement therapy (menopause)|hormone replacement therapy in menopause]]<ref name="Rossouw-2002">{{Cite journal | author = Rossouw JE, Anderson GL, [[Ross Prentice|Prentice RL]], LaCroix AZ, Kooperberg C, Stefanick ML, Jackson RD, Beresford SA, Howard BV, Johnson KC, Kotchen JM, Ockene J; Writing Group for the Women's Health Initiative Investigators | title = Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results from the Women's Health Initiative randomized controlled trial | journal = [[J Am Med Assoc]] | volume = 288 | issue = 3 | pages = 321–33 | year = 2002 | pmid = 12117397 | doi = 10.1001/jama.288.3.321 | s2cid = 20149703 | url = https://escholarship.org/content/qt3mr6f93p/qt3mr6f93p.pdf?t=prll4c | doi-access = free }}</ref>) is appropriate. |
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| + | 随机对照试验中使用的统计方法类型取决于数据的特征,包括: |
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| + | * 对于二元结果数据,可以使用逻辑回归(例如,预测接受聚乙二醇干扰素α-2a治疗丙型肝炎后的持续病毒学应答)和其他方法。 |
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− | Due to the recent emergence of RCTs in social science, the use of RCTs in social sciences is a contested issue. Some writers from a medical or health background have argued that existing research in a range of social science disciplines lacks rigour, and should be improved by greater use of randomized control trials.
| + | * 对于连续的结果数据,协方差分析(例如,急性冠状动脉综合征后接受阿托伐他汀后血脂水平的变化)可以用于检测预测变量效果。 |
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− | 由于最近在社会科学中出现了 rct,rct 在社会科学中的应用是一个有争议的问题。一些有医学或健康背景的作家认为,一系列社会科学学科的现有研究缺乏严谨性,应该通过更多地使用随机对照试验来改进。
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− | Researchers in transport science argue that public spending on programmes such as school travel plans could not be justified unless their efficacy is demonstrated by randomized controlled trials. Graham-Rowe and colleagues reviewed 77 evaluations of transport interventions found in the literature, categorising them into 5 "quality levels". They concluded that most of the studies were of low quality and advocated the use of randomized controlled trials wherever possible in future transport research.
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− | 交通科学研究人员认为,除非随机对照试验证明其有效性,否则在学校旅行计划等项目上的公共支出是不合理的。Graham-Rowe 和他的同事回顾了文献中发现的77个运输干预评估,将它们分为5个“质量水平”。他们的结论是,大多数研究质量低下,并主张在未来的运输研究中尽可能使用随机对照试验。
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| + | * 对于可能删失的时间到事件结果数据,生存分析(如绝经后接受激素替代治疗后冠心病发生时间的卡普兰-迈耶估计值和考克斯比例风险模型)是合适的。 |
| Regardless of the statistical methods used, important considerations in the analysis of RCT data include: | | Regardless of the statistical methods used, important considerations in the analysis of RCT data include: |
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− | Dr. Steve Melia took issue with these conclusions, arguing that claims about the advantages of RCTs, in establishing causality and avoiding bias, have been exaggerated. He proposed the following eight criteria for the use of RCTs in contexts where interventions must change human behaviour to be effective:
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− | Steve Melia 博士对这些结论提出异议,认为关于 rct 在确定因果关系和避免偏见方面的优势的说法被夸大了。他提出了在干预措施必须改变人的行为才能有效的情况下使用区域反应技术的八项标准:
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| * Whether an RCT should be stopped early due to interim results. For example, RCTs may be stopped early if an intervention produces "larger than expected benefit or harm", or if "investigators find evidence of no important difference between experimental and control interventions."<ref name="Moher-2010"/> | | * Whether an RCT should be stopped early due to interim results. For example, RCTs may be stopped early if an intervention produces "larger than expected benefit or harm", or if "investigators find evidence of no important difference between experimental and control interventions."<ref name="Moher-2010"/> |
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| * The extent to which the groups can be analyzed exactly as they existed upon randomization (i.e., whether a so-called "[[intention-to-treat analysis]]" is used). A "pure" intention-to-treat analysis is "possible only when complete outcome data are available" for all randomized subjects;<ref name="Hollis-1999">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Hollis S, Campbell F | title = What is meant by intention to treat analysis? Survey of published randomised controlled trials | journal = [[Br Med J]] | volume = 319 | issue = 7211 | pages = 670–4 | year = 1999 | pmid = 10480822 | pmc = 28218 | doi=10.1136/bmj.319.7211.670}}</ref> when some outcome data are missing, options include analyzing only cases with known outcomes and using [[Imputation (statistics)|imputed]] data.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> Nevertheless, the more that analyses can include all participants in the groups to which they were randomized, the less bias that an RCT will be subject to.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> | | * The extent to which the groups can be analyzed exactly as they existed upon randomization (i.e., whether a so-called "[[intention-to-treat analysis]]" is used). A "pure" intention-to-treat analysis is "possible only when complete outcome data are available" for all randomized subjects;<ref name="Hollis-1999">{{Cite journal |vauthors=Hollis S, Campbell F | title = What is meant by intention to treat analysis? Survey of published randomised controlled trials | journal = [[Br Med J]] | volume = 319 | issue = 7211 | pages = 670–4 | year = 1999 | pmid = 10480822 | pmc = 28218 | doi=10.1136/bmj.319.7211.670}}</ref> when some outcome data are missing, options include analyzing only cases with known outcomes and using [[Imputation (statistics)|imputed]] data.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> Nevertheless, the more that analyses can include all participants in the groups to which they were randomized, the less bias that an RCT will be subject to.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> |
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− | 干预措施:
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| * Whether [[subgroup analysis]] should be performed. These are "often discouraged" because [[multiple comparisons]] may produce false positive findings that cannot be confirmed by other studies.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> | | * Whether [[subgroup analysis]] should be performed. These are "often discouraged" because [[multiple comparisons]] may produce false positive findings that cannot be confirmed by other studies.<ref name="Moher-2010"/> |
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| + | 无论使用何种统计方法,RCT数据分析中的重要考虑因素包括: |
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| + | * 由于中期结果,是否应该提前停止RCT。例如,如果干预产生“大于预期的益处或危害”,或者如果“研究者发现实验干预和对照干预之间没有重要区别的证据”,则可能会提前停止随机对照试验。 |
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− | Has not been applied to all members of a unique group of people (e.g. the population of a whole country, all employees of a unique organisation etc.)
| + | * 这些组在多大程度上可以完全按照随机化时的状态进行分析(即,是否使用了所谓的“意向治疗分析”)。一项“纯”意向治疗分析“只有在获得所有随机受试者的完整结果数据时才有可能”;当一些结果数据缺失时,选项包括仅分析具有已知结果的病例和使用估算数据。然而,分析越能包括他们被随机分组的所有参与者,RCT受到的偏见就越少。 |
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− | 并不适用于一个特殊群体的所有成员(例如:。整个国家的人口,一个独特组织的所有雇员等)
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| + | * 是否应进行亚组分析。这些“通常是不鼓励的”,因为多次比较可能会产生假阳性结果,而其他研究无法证实。 |
| == Reporting of results == | | == Reporting of results == |
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