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第189行： − − Kurzweil claims that technological progress follows a pattern of − exponential growth, following what he calls the "law of − accelerating returns". Whenever technology approaches a barrier, − Kurzweil writes, new technologies will surmount it. He predicts − paradigm shifts will become increasingly common, leading to − "technological change so rapid and profound it represents a − rupture in the fabric of human history".[43] Kurzweil believes that − the singularity will occur by approximately 2045.[38] His − predictions differ from Vinge's in that he predicts a gradual − ascent to the singularity, rather than Vinge's rapidly self-improving superhuman intelligence. −
→加速变革
predictions differ from Vinge's in that he predicts a gradual
predictions differ from Vinge's in that he predicts a gradual
ascent to the singularity, rather than Vinge's rapidly self�improving superhuman intelligence.
ascent to the singularity, rather than Vinge's rapidly self�improving superhuman intelligence.
库兹韦尔声称，技术进步遵循[[指数增长]的模式，遵循他所称的“加速返回定律law of accelerating returns”。库兹韦尔写道，每当一项技术遇到障碍时，新技术就会出来克服这个障碍。他预测范式转变将变得越来越普遍，导致“技术变革非常迅速和深刻，以至于它代表着人类历史结构的一个断裂”。库兹韦尔相信奇点将在2045年之前出现。他和Vinge预测的不同点在于他预测的是一个逐渐上升到奇点的过程，而Vinge预测了一个快速自我更新的超人类智能。
库兹韦尔声称，技术进步遵循[[指数增长]的模式，遵循他所称的“加速返回定律law of accelerating returns”。库兹韦尔写道，每当一项技术遇到障碍时，新技术就会出来克服这个障碍。他预测范式转变将变得越来越普遍，导致“技术变革非常迅速和深刻，以至于它代表着人类历史结构的一个断裂”。库兹韦尔相信奇点将在2045年之前出现。他和Vinge预测的不同点在于他预测的是一个逐渐上升到奇点的过程，而Vinge预测了一个快速自我更新的超人类智能。
Oft-cited dangers include those commonly associated with molecular nanotechnology and genetic engineering. These threats are major issues for both singularity advocates and critics, and were the subject of Bill Joy's Wired magazine article "Why the future doesn't need us".
Oft-cited dangers include those commonly associated with molecular nanotechnology and genetic engineering. These threats are major issues for both singularity advocates and critics, and were the subject of Bill Joy's Wired magazine article "Why the future doesn't need us".
经常被引用的危险包括那些与分子纳米技术和基因工程有关的技术。这些威胁是奇点论的倡导者和批评者面临的主要议题，也是比尔 · 乔伊《连线 Wired》杂志上所发表文章《为什么未来不需要我们Why the future doesn't need us》的主题。
经常被引用的危险包括那些与分子纳米技术和基因工程有关的技术。这些威胁是奇点论的倡导者和批评者面临的主要议题，也是比尔 · 乔伊《连线 Wired》杂志上所发表文章《为什么未来不需要我们Why the future doesn't need us》的主题。