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===对人类社会的影响===
 
===对人类社会的影响===
 
2009年2月,在'''人工智能促进协会 Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence(AAAI)'''的主持下,Eric Horvitz在加利福尼亚州Pacific Grove的Asilomar主持了一次由主要计算机科学家、人工智能研究人员和机器人学家参加的会议。其目的是讨论机器人能够自给自足并能够自己做决定的假设可能性的潜在影响。他们讨论了计算机和机器人能够在多大程度上获得自主性 autonomy,以及在多大程度上可以利用这些能力对人类构成威胁或危险。<ref name="nytimes july09" />
 
2009年2月,在'''人工智能促进协会 Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence(AAAI)'''的主持下,Eric Horvitz在加利福尼亚州Pacific Grove的Asilomar主持了一次由主要计算机科学家、人工智能研究人员和机器人学家参加的会议。其目的是讨论机器人能够自给自足并能够自己做决定的假设可能性的潜在影响。他们讨论了计算机和机器人能够在多大程度上获得自主性 autonomy,以及在多大程度上可以利用这些能力对人类构成威胁或危险。<ref name="nytimes july09" />
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Some machines are programmed with various forms of semi-autonomy, including the ability to locate their own power sources and choose targets to attack with weapons. Also, some [[computer viruses]] can evade elimination and, according to scientists in attendance, could therefore be said to have reached a "cockroach" stage of machine intelligence. The conference attendees noted that self-awareness as depicted in science-fiction is probably unlikely, but that other potential hazards and pitfalls exist.<ref name="nytimes july09">[https://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper Scientists Worry Machines May Outsmart Man] By JOHN MARKOFF, NY Times, July 26, 2009.</ref>
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有些机器被编程成各种形式的<font color="#ff8000">半自主 semi-autonomy</font>,包括定位自己的电源和选择武器攻击的目标等。此外,有些计算机病毒可以避免被消除,根据与会科学家的说法,可以说已经达到了机器智能的“蟑螂”阶段。与会者指出,科幻小说中描述的自我意识可能不太可能,但也存在其他潜在的危险和陷阱。<ref name="nytimes july09">[https://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper Scientists Worry Machines May Outsmart Man] By JOHN MARKOFF, NY Times, July 26, 2009.</ref>
 
有些机器被编程成各种形式的<font color="#ff8000">半自主 semi-autonomy</font>,包括定位自己的电源和选择武器攻击的目标等。此外,有些计算机病毒可以避免被消除,根据与会科学家的说法,可以说已经达到了机器智能的“蟑螂”阶段。与会者指出,科幻小说中描述的自我意识可能不太可能,但也存在其他潜在的危险和陷阱。<ref name="nytimes july09">[https://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper Scientists Worry Machines May Outsmart Man] By JOHN MARKOFF, NY Times, July 26, 2009.</ref>
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Frank S. Robinson predicts that once humans achieve a machine with the intelligence of a human, scientific and technological problems will be tackled and solved with brainpower far superior to that of humans. He notes that artificial systems are able to share data more directly than humans, and predicts that this would result in a global network of super-intelligence that would dwarf human capability.<ref name=":0">{{cite magazine |last=Robinson |first=Frank S. |title=The Human Future: Upgrade or Replacement? |magazine=[[The Humanist]] |date=27 June 2013 |url=https://thehumanist.com/magazine/july-august-2013/features/the-human-future-upgrade-or-replacement}}</ref> Robinson also discusses how vastly different the future would potentially look after such an intelligence explosion. One example of this is solar energy, where the Earth receives vastly more solar energy than humanity captures, so capturing more of that solar energy would hold vast promise for civilizational growth.
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Frank S. Robinson预言,一旦人类实现了具有人类智能的机器,科学技术问题将被远远优于人类的智力来解决。他指出,人工系统能够比人类更直接地共享数据,并预测这将导致一个全球的超级智能网络,使人类的能力相形见绌。<ref name=":0">{{cite magazine |last=Robinson |first=Frank S. |title=The Human Future: Upgrade or Replacement? |magazine=[[The Humanist]] |date=27 June 2013 |url=https://thehumanist.com/magazine/july-august-2013/features/the-human-future-upgrade-or-replacement}}</ref>Robinson还讨论了在这样一次智能爆炸之后,未来可能会有多大的不同。其中一个例子就是太阳能,地球接收到的太阳能远远多于人类捕获的太阳能,因此捕捉更多的太阳能将为文明发展带来巨大的希望。
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Frank S. Robinson 预言,一旦人类实现了具有人类智能的机器,科学技术问题将被远远优于人类的智力来解决。他指出,人工系统能够比人类更直接地共享数据,并预测这将导致一个全球的超级智能网络,使人类的能力相形见绌。Robinson 还讨论了在这样一次智能爆炸之后,未来可能会有多大的不同。其中一个例子就是太阳能,地球接收到的太阳能远远多于人类捕获的太阳能,因此捕捉更多的太阳能将为文明发展带来巨大的希望。
      
==硬起飞与软起飞==
 
==硬起飞与软起飞==
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