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随机过程 (查看源代码)

2021年10月27日 (三) 21:30的版本

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→‎维纳过程 Wiener process
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维纳过程是一个随机过程，具有平稳的独立的增量并且基于增量的大小是正态分布的.<ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1">{{cite book|author1=L. C. G. Rogers|author2=David Williams|title=Diffusions, Markov Processes, and Martingales: Volume 1, Foundations|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=W0ydAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA1|year=2000|publisher=Cambridge University Press|isbn=978-1-107-71749-7|page=1}}</ref><ref name="Klebaner2005page56">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7|page=56}}</ref>维纳过程是以Norbert Wiener命名的，他证明了它的数学存在性，但是这个过程也被称为布朗运动过程或仅仅是布朗运动，因为它是液体中[[布朗运动]]的模型。<ref name="Brush1968page1">{{cite journal|last1=Brush|first1=Stephen G.|title=A history of random processes|journal=Archive for History of Exact Sciences|volume=5|issue=1|year=1968|pages=1–2|issn=0003-9519|doi=10.1007/BF00328110}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum2004page1338">{{cite journal|last1=Applebaum|first1=David|title=Lévy processes: From probability to finance and quantum groups|journal=Notices of the AMS|volume=51|issue=11|year=2004|pages=1338}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum2004page1338"/><ref name="GikhmanSkorokhod1969page21">{{cite book|author1=Iosif Ilyich Gikhman|author2=Anatoly Vladimirovich Skorokhod|title=Introduction to the Theory of Random Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=yJyLzG7N7r8C&pg=PR2|year=1969|publisher=Courier Corporation|isbn=978-0-486-69387-3|page=21}}</ref>
 
维纳过程是一个随机过程，具有平稳的独立的增量并且基于增量的大小是正态分布的.<ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1">{{cite book|author1=L. C. G. Rogers|author2=David Williams|title=Diffusions, Markov Processes, and Martingales: Volume 1, Foundations|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=W0ydAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA1|year=2000|publisher=Cambridge University Press|isbn=978-1-107-71749-7|page=1}}</ref><ref name="Klebaner2005page56">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7|page=56}}</ref>维纳过程是以Norbert Wiener命名的，他证明了它的数学存在性，但是这个过程也被称为布朗运动过程或仅仅是布朗运动，因为它是液体中[[布朗运动]]的模型。<ref name="Brush1968page1">{{cite journal|last1=Brush|first1=Stephen G.|title=A history of random processes|journal=Archive for History of Exact Sciences|volume=5|issue=1|year=1968|pages=1–2|issn=0003-9519|doi=10.1007/BF00328110}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum2004page1338">{{cite journal|last1=Applebaum|first1=David|title=Lévy processes: From probability to finance and quantum groups|journal=Notices of the AMS|volume=51|issue=11|year=2004|pages=1338}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum2004page1338"/><ref name="GikhmanSkorokhod1969page21">{{cite book|author1=Iosif Ilyich Gikhman|author2=Anatoly Vladimirovich Skorokhod|title=Introduction to the Theory of Random Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=yJyLzG7N7r8C&pg=PR2|year=1969|publisher=Courier Corporation|isbn=978-0-486-69387-3|page=21}}</ref>
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[[File:DriftedWienerProcess1D.svg|thumb|left|实现维纳Wiener过程（或布朗运动过程），具有漂移（<font color=blue>蓝色</font>且不漂移（{<font color=red>红色</font>）。]]
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[[File:DriftedWienerProcess1D.svg|thumb|left|实现维纳Wiener过程（或布朗运动过程），具有漂移（<font color=blue>蓝色</font>且不漂移（<font color=red>红色</font>）。]]
    
''' Wiener process维纳过程'''在概率论中起着中心作用，通常被认为是最重要和研究的随机过程，并与其他随机过程联系在一起<ref name="doob1953stochasticP46to47"/><ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1"/><ref name="Steele2012page29">{{cite book|author=J. Michael Steele|title=Stochastic Calculus and Financial Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=fsgkBAAAQBAJ&pg=PR4|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4684-9305-4|page=29}}</ref><ref name="Florescu2014page471">{{cite book|author=Ionut Florescu|title=Probability and Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Z5xEBQAAQBAJ&pg=PR22|year=2014|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|isbn=978-1-118-59320-2|page=471}}</ref><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page21">{{cite book|author1=Samuel Karlin|author2=Howard E. Taylor|title=A First Course in Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=dSDxjX9nmmMC|year=2012|publisher=Academic Press|isbn=978-0-08-057041-9|pages=21, 22}}</ref><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014pageVIII">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=VIII}}</ref><ref name="RevuzYor2013pageIX">{{cite book|author1=Daniel Revuz|author2=Marc Yor|title=Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=OYbnCAAAQBAJ|year=2013|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-3-662-06400-9|page=IX|author1-link=Daniel Revuz}}</ref>其索引集和状态空间分别是非负数和实数，因此它既有连续索引集又有状态空间<ref name="Rosenthal2006page186">{{cite book|author=Jeffrey S Rosenthal|title=A First Look at Rigorous Probability Theory|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=am1IDQAAQBAJ|year=2006|publisher=World Scientific Publishing Co Inc|isbn=978-981-310-165-4|page=186}}</ref>但是过程可以定义得更广泛，这样它的状态空间可以是维欧几里德空间。<ref name="Klebaner2005page81"/><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page21"/><ref>{{cite book|author1=Donald L. Snyder|author2=Michael I. Miller|title=Random Point Processes in Time and Space|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=c_3UBwAAQBAJ|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4612-3166-0|page=33}}</ref>如果任何增量的[[平均值]]为零，则所得到的维纳或布朗运动过程称为零漂移。如果任意两个时间点的增量的平均值等于时间差乘以某个常数<math>\mu</math>，即实数，由此产生的随机过程被称为'''漂移'''。<ref name="Steele2012page118">{{cite book|author=J. Michael Steele|title=Stochastic Calculus and Financial Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=fsgkBAAAQBAJ&pg=PR4|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4684-9305-4|page=118}}</ref><ref name="MörtersPeres2010page1"/><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page78">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=78}}</ref>
 
''' Wiener process维纳过程'''在概率论中起着中心作用，通常被认为是最重要和研究的随机过程，并与其他随机过程联系在一起<ref name="doob1953stochasticP46to47"/><ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1"/><ref name="Steele2012page29">{{cite book|author=J. Michael Steele|title=Stochastic Calculus and Financial Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=fsgkBAAAQBAJ&pg=PR4|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4684-9305-4|page=29}}</ref><ref name="Florescu2014page471">{{cite book|author=Ionut Florescu|title=Probability and Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Z5xEBQAAQBAJ&pg=PR22|year=2014|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|isbn=978-1-118-59320-2|page=471}}</ref><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page21">{{cite book|author1=Samuel Karlin|author2=Howard E. Taylor|title=A First Course in Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=dSDxjX9nmmMC|year=2012|publisher=Academic Press|isbn=978-0-08-057041-9|pages=21, 22}}</ref><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014pageVIII">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=VIII}}</ref><ref name="RevuzYor2013pageIX">{{cite book|author1=Daniel Revuz|author2=Marc Yor|title=Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=OYbnCAAAQBAJ|year=2013|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-3-662-06400-9|page=IX|author1-link=Daniel Revuz}}</ref>其索引集和状态空间分别是非负数和实数，因此它既有连续索引集又有状态空间<ref name="Rosenthal2006page186">{{cite book|author=Jeffrey S Rosenthal|title=A First Look at Rigorous Probability Theory|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=am1IDQAAQBAJ|year=2006|publisher=World Scientific Publishing Co Inc|isbn=978-981-310-165-4|page=186}}</ref>但是过程可以定义得更广泛，这样它的状态空间可以是维欧几里德空间。<ref name="Klebaner2005page81"/><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page21"/><ref>{{cite book|author1=Donald L. Snyder|author2=Michael I. Miller|title=Random Point Processes in Time and Space|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=c_3UBwAAQBAJ|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4612-3166-0|page=33}}</ref>如果任何增量的[[平均值]]为零，则所得到的维纳或布朗运动过程称为零漂移。如果任意两个时间点的增量的平均值等于时间差乘以某个常数<math>\mu</math>，即实数，由此产生的随机过程被称为'''漂移'''。<ref name="Steele2012page118">{{cite book|author=J. Michael Steele|title=Stochastic Calculus and Financial Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=fsgkBAAAQBAJ&pg=PR4|year=2012|publisher=Springer Science & Business Media|isbn=978-1-4684-9305-4|page=118}}</ref><ref name="MörtersPeres2010page1"/><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page78">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=78}}</ref>
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维纳过程是一些重要的随机过程家族的成员，包括马尔可夫过程，Lévy过程和高斯过程。<ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1"/><ref name="Applebaum2004page1337"/>该过程也有许多应用，是随机微积分中使用的主要随机过程。<ref name="Klebaner2005">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7}}</ref><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2}}</ref>它在数量金融中起着核心作用，<ref name="Applebaum2004page1341">{{cite journal|last1=Applebaum|first1=David|title=Lévy processes: From probability to finance and quantum groups|journal=Notices of the AMS|volume=51|issue=11|year=2004|page=1341}}</ref><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page340">{{cite book|author1=Samuel Karlin|author2=Howard E. Taylor|title=A First Course in Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=dSDxjX9nmmMC|year=2012|publisher=Academic Press|isbn=978-0-08-057041-9|page=340}}</ref>在Black-Scholes-Merton模型中使用它。<ref name="Klebaner2005page124">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7|page=124}}</ref>该过程也被用于不同的领域，包括大多数自然科学以及社会科学的一些分支，作为各种随机现象的数学模型。<ref name="Steele2012page29"/><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page47">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=47}}</ref><ref name="Wiersema2008page2">{{cite book|author=Ubbo F. Wiersema|title=Brownian Motion Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=0h-n0WWuD9cC|year=2008|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|isbn=978-0-470-02171-2|page=2}}</ref>
 
维纳过程是一些重要的随机过程家族的成员，包括马尔可夫过程，Lévy过程和高斯过程。<ref name="RogersWilliams2000page1"/><ref name="Applebaum2004page1337"/>该过程也有许多应用，是随机微积分中使用的主要随机过程。<ref name="Klebaner2005">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7}}</ref><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2}}</ref>它在数量金融中起着核心作用，<ref name="Applebaum2004page1341">{{cite journal|last1=Applebaum|first1=David|title=Lévy processes: From probability to finance and quantum groups|journal=Notices of the AMS|volume=51|issue=11|year=2004|page=1341}}</ref><ref name="KarlinTaylor2012page340">{{cite book|author1=Samuel Karlin|author2=Howard E. Taylor|title=A First Course in Stochastic Processes|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=dSDxjX9nmmMC|year=2012|publisher=Academic Press|isbn=978-0-08-057041-9|page=340}}</ref>在Black-Scholes-Merton模型中使用它。<ref name="Klebaner2005page124">{{cite book|author=Fima C. Klebaner|title=Introduction to Stochastic Calculus with Applications|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=JYzW0uqQxB0C|year=2005|publisher=Imperial College Press|isbn=978-1-86094-555-7|page=124}}</ref>该过程也被用于不同的领域，包括大多数自然科学以及社会科学的一些分支，作为各种随机现象的数学模型。<ref name="Steele2012page29"/><ref name="KaratzasShreve2014page47">{{cite book|author1=Ioannis Karatzas|author2=Steven Shreve|title=Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=w0SgBQAAQBAJ&pg=PT5|year=1991|publisher=Springer|isbn=978-1-4612-0949-2|page=47}}</ref><ref name="Wiersema2008page2">{{cite book|author=Ubbo F. Wiersema|title=Brownian Motion Calculus|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=0h-n0WWuD9cC|year=2008|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|isbn=978-0-470-02171-2|page=2}}</ref>
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===泊松过程 Poisson process===
 
===泊松过程 Poisson process===
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