7,129
个编辑
更改
跳到导航
跳到搜索
第340行：
第340行： − + 第354行：
第354行： −
→研究活动
Tobias Preis和他的同事Helen Susannah Moat和H.Eugene Stanley介绍了一种方法，使用基于谷歌趋势（Google Trends）提供的搜索量数据的交易策略，识别股市走势的在线前兆。他们在科学报告中对谷歌98个不同财务相关性的搜索量进行的分析表明，财务相关搜索量的增加往往先于金融市场的巨大损失。<ref>{{cite journal | url =http://www.nature.com/news/counting-google-searches-predicts-market-movements-1.12879 | title=Counting Google searches predicts market movements | author=Philip Ball | journal=Nature | date=26 April 2013 | doi=10.1038/nature.2013.12879 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref> Their analysis of [[Google]] search volume for 98 terms of varying financial relevance, published in ''[[Scientific Reports]]'',<ref>{{cite journal | vauthors = Preis T, Moat HS, Stanley HE | title = Quantifying trading behavior in financial markets using Google Trends | journal = Scientific Reports | volume = 3 | pages = 1684 | year = 2013 | pmid = 23619126 | pmc = 3635219 | doi = 10.1038/srep01684 | bibcode = 2013NatSR...3E1684P }}</ref> suggests that increases in search volume for financially relevant search terms tend to precede large losses in financial markets.<ref>{{cite news | url=http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/google-search-terms-can-predict-stock-market-study-finds/ | title= Google Search Terms Can Predict Stock Market, Study Finds | author=Nick Bilton | work=[[The New York Times]] | date=26 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine | url=http://business.time.com/2013/04/26/trouble-with-your-investment-portfolio-google-it/ | title=Trouble With Your Investment Portfolio? Google It! | author=Christopher Matthews | magazine=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] | date=26 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal | url= http://www.nature.com/news/counting-google-searches-predicts-market-movements-1.12879 | title=Counting Google searches predicts market movements | author=Philip Ball |journal=[[Nature (journal)|Nature]] | date=26 April 2013 | doi=10.1038/nature.2013.12879 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-04-25/big-data-researchers-turn-to-google-to-beat-the-markets | title='Big Data' Researchers Turn to Google to Beat the Markets | author=Bernhard Warner | work=[[Bloomberg Businessweek]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/hamish-mcrae/hamish-mcrae-need-a-valuable-handle-on-investor-sentiment-google-it-8590991.html | title=Hamish McRae: Need a valuable handle on investor sentiment? Google it | author=Hamish McRae | work=[[The Independent]] | date=28 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013 | location=London}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e5d959b8-acf2-11e2-b27f-00144feabdc0.html | title= Google search proves to be new word in stock market prediction | author=Richard Waters | work=[[Financial Times]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url =https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22293693 | title=Google searches predict market moves | author=Jason Palmer | work=[[BBC]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref>
Tobias Preis和他的同事Helen Susannah Moat和H.Eugene Stanley介绍了一种方法，使用基于谷歌趋势（Google Trends）提供的搜索量数据的交易策略，识别股市走势的在线前兆。<ref>{{cite journal | url =http://www.nature.com/news/counting-google-searches-predicts-market-movements-1.12879 | title=Counting Google searches predicts market movements | author=Philip Ball | journal=Nature | date=26 April 2013 | doi=10.1038/nature.2013.12879 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref> 他们在科学报告中对谷歌98个不同财务相关性的搜索量进行的分析表明，财务相关搜索量的增加往往先于金融市场的巨大损失。<ref>{{cite journal | vauthors = Preis T, Moat HS, Stanley HE | title = Quantifying trading behavior in financial markets using Google Trends | journal = Scientific Reports | volume = 3 | pages = 1684 | year = 2013 | pmid = 23619126 | pmc = 3635219 | doi = 10.1038/srep01684 | bibcode = 2013NatSR...3E1684P }}</ref> suggests that increases in search volume for financially relevant search terms tend to precede large losses in financial markets.<ref>{{cite news | url=http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/google-search-terms-can-predict-stock-market-study-finds/ | title= Google Search Terms Can Predict Stock Market, Study Finds | author=Nick Bilton | work=[[The New York Times]] | date=26 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine | url=http://business.time.com/2013/04/26/trouble-with-your-investment-portfolio-google-it/ | title=Trouble With Your Investment Portfolio? Google It! | author=Christopher Matthews | magazine=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] | date=26 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal | url= http://www.nature.com/news/counting-google-searches-predicts-market-movements-1.12879 | title=Counting Google searches predicts market movements | author=Philip Ball |journal=[[Nature (journal)|Nature]] | date=26 April 2013 | doi=10.1038/nature.2013.12879 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-04-25/big-data-researchers-turn-to-google-to-beat-the-markets | title='Big Data' Researchers Turn to Google to Beat the Markets | author=Bernhard Warner | work=[[Bloomberg Businessweek]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/hamish-mcrae/hamish-mcrae-need-a-valuable-handle-on-investor-sentiment-google-it-8590991.html | title=Hamish McRae: Need a valuable handle on investor sentiment? Google it | author=Hamish McRae | work=[[The Independent]] | date=28 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013 | location=London}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e5d959b8-acf2-11e2-b27f-00144feabdc0.html | title= Google search proves to be new word in stock market prediction | author=Richard Waters | work=[[Financial Times]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url =https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22293693 | title=Google searches predict market moves | author=Jason Palmer | work=[[BBC]] | date=25 April 2013 | access-date=9 August 2013}}</ref>
在大数据采样算法方面已经有了一些成果。比如抽样 Twitter 数据的理论公式已被开发出。<ref>{{cite conference |author1=Deepan Palguna |author2= Vikas Joshi |author3=Venkatesan Chakravarthy |author4=Ravi Kothari |author5=L. V. Subramaniam | title=Analysis of Sampling Algorithms for Twitter | journal=[[International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence]] | year=2015 }}</ref>
在大数据采样算法方面已经有了一些成果。比如抽样 Twitter 数据的理论公式已被开发出。<ref>{{cite conference |author1=Deepan Palguna |author2= Vikas Joshi |author3=Venkatesan Chakravarthy |author4=Ravi Kothari |author5=L. V. Subramaniam | title=Analysis of Sampling Algorithms for Twitter | journal=[[International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence]] | year=2015 }}</ref>
== 批评 ==
== 批评 ==