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删除1,057字节 、 2021年8月8日 (日) 16:54
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由于X <math>\sim B(n, p)</math>和Y <math>\sim B(X, q)</math>,由<font color="#ff8000">全概率公式 the law of total probability </font>,
 
由于X <math>\sim B(n, p)</math>和Y <math>\sim B(X, q)</math>,由<font color="#ff8000">全概率公式 the law of total probability </font>,
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<math>    \widehat{p\,} + \frac{z^2}{2n} + z</math>
 
<math>    \widehat{p\,} + \frac{z^2}{2n} + z</math>
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<math>  &= \sum_{k=m}^n \binom{n}{k} \binom{k}{m} p^k q^m (1-p)^{n-k} (1-q)^{k-m}</math>
      
<math>\frac{\widehat{p\,}(1 - \widehat{p\,})}{n} </math>
 
<math>\frac{\widehat{p\,}(1 - \widehat{p\,})}{n} </math>
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<math>    1 + \frac{z^2}{n}</math>
 
<math>    1 + \frac{z^2}{n}</math>
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<math>\Pr[Y = m] &= \binom{n}{m} p^m q^m \left( \sum_{k=m}^n \binom{n-m}{k-m} p^{k-m} (1-p)^{n-k} (1-q)^{k-m} \right) \\[2pt]}</math><ref><nowiki>{{cite book</nowiki>
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<math>  &= \binom{n}{m} (pq)^m \left( \sum_{k=m}^n \binom{n-m}{k-m} \left(p(1-q)\right)^{k-m} (1-p)^{n-k}  \right)</math>
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| chapter =Confidence intervals
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| chapter-url =http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm
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After substituting  i = k - m  in the expression above, we get
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| title =Engineering Statistics Handbook
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\Pr[Y = m] = \binom{n}{m} (pq)^m \left( \sum_{i=0}^{n-m} \binom{n-m}{i} (p - pq)^i (1-p)^{n-m - i} \right)
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| publisher =NIST/Sematech
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Notice that the sum (in the parentheses) above equals  (p - pq + 1 - p)^{n-m}  by the binomial theorem. Substituting this in finally yields
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| year =2012
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1.1.1.2.2.2.2.2.2.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.4.3
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| access-date =2017-07-23
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<nowiki>}}</nowiki></ref>
      
====比较====
 
====比较====
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